Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1.990320 2.290530 2.625995 3.029602 3.503289 4.043114 4.707082
2025-03-16 1.506062 1.893524 2.371114 3.007272 3.838687 4.896915 6.359438
2025-03-23 1.250773 1.666884 2.214319 2.995451 4.094741 5.606509 7.877448
2025-03-30 1.062934 1.482913 2.064652 2.941768 4.252500 6.173470 9.267128
2025-04-06 0.950621 1.380001 2.002124 2.986869 4.539350 6.949029 11.084766
2025-04-13 0.834815 1.253171 1.882849 2.921844 4.637253 7.436362 12.517914
2025-04-20 0.782617 1.213621 1.886857 3.044020 5.043978 8.474829 15.067368
2025-04-27 0.712768 1.136682 1.820432 3.038246 5.229366 9.158603 17.103188
2025-05-04 0.672571 1.102317 1.817632 3.137244 5.608443 10.241613 20.105820
2025-05-11 0.623219 1.046519 1.771123 3.150666 5.829118 11.058427 22.732888
2025-05-18 0.579487 0.995376 1.726223 3.159591 6.039557 11.884195 25.543563
2025-05-25 0.528738 0.926422 1.641588 3.081524 6.064242 12.330965 27.595327
2025-06-01 0.491779 0.883877 1.610227 3.123218 6.384164 13.554274 32.002715
2025-06-08 0.448941 0.826773 1.546924 3.097086 6.569826 14.554447 36.247163
2025-06-15 0.413351 0.778952 1.494870 3.084996 6.782114 15.658705 41.094748
2025-06-22 0.377827 0.727011 1.427780 3.029525 6.883251 16.515045 45.528880
2025-06-29 0.355897 0.699835 1.408001 3.076124 7.237328 18.092246 52.596595
2025-07-06 0.326552 0.654050 1.343224 3.008940 7.295426 18.899586 57.563164
2025-07-13 0.315646 0.645922 1.358904 3.135178 7.877760 21.297708 68.622758
2025-07-20 0.295780 0.616229 1.322954 3.129210 8.105048 22.728192 76.888758
2025-07-27 0.285160 0.605769 1.329480 3.231512 8.654452 25.273801 90.300318
2025-08-03 0.269639 0.582593 1.303537 3.245384 8.952774 27.109528 101.749541
2025-08-10 0.255168 0.560357 1.277283 3.254607 9.240371 28.990711 114.238511